Week 8: From wrap ups to run downs

by ailanthus altissima on October 25, 2009 at 10:30 am
3 Comments (Including One Conversation)Comments

So normally you’re reading this to hear how the weekend rolled out. Well, it went mostly as expected. There were a lot of blow outs (Boise State destroyed Hawaii), some close calls (Mississippi State and Tennessee can revel in their moral(e) victories, if not real ones), and an upset, maybe two (Clemson took down Miami (FL)). More sentimentally (and I’m going out on a limb and assuming that sports fans are a fairly sentimental bunch), an emotional UConn team nearly upset West Virginia. I didn’t know Jasper Howard, but Robert Lunn, who did know him and who did play with him, wrote a moving piece on his tragic death. I will not cover that here because I will be unable to do it justice, not because it is a story unworthy of attention. My thoughts go out to his family and friends.

I’m not going to cover all of that in-depth today. Apologies all around, but this late in the season, people are starting to take a closer look at the rankings. Teams are for the most part developed at this point. The talent level has been gauged, kinks have been worked out (and new ones have been thrown in – let’s be honest, there have been some big injuries this year), and teams are entering the zone: next year, when we think “goddamn, this team was better last year”, this is what we’ll be thinking of. Oh I’m veering into sentimental again, but I have a point, I swear.

Fight! Fight! Fight!

Last week, for the first time, Florida was no longer unanimous number one: Alabama had been creeping up and had stolen the top spot in one or two of the polls. Today, both Florida and Alabama maintained their undefeated streaks, and both of them ended up with games much closer than is comfortable. Like I said on Friday, I’m not sure what’s in the water in Starksville, but they’re able to give Florida scares, and in some cases, upsets. Tennessee has shown itself to be a strong defensive team – say what you will about Kiffin (and god help me, that goofball is growing on me a little), his defense has grown this season and now they’re a real force to be reckoned with. True, the Vols can’t muster an offense to save their life (3 missed/blocked field goals! 3 of them! Crompton alternating between genius and dumbass! The sound! The fury! Oh, Absolom, absolom, the sturm-und-drang that is the SEC), but their defense was almost enough to win the game.

So, who should stay on top? I understand that by framing this question with a discussion of Florida and Alabama, I’m putting up these two teams as the only options for number one. I think this is fair. There are only five other undefeated teams: Texas (3), Boise State (4), Cincinnati (5), Iowa (6), and TCU(8). So far, each of these teams has had an easier schedule than either Florida or Alabama. Texas’s true challenge came against Oklahoma (then 20), Boise State’s against Oregon (then 16), Cincy…well, Cincy still hasn’t played a really tough game – their only ranked opponent was then number 21 South Florida. Iowa is under-ranked, but they still can’t compete with Alabama, and TCU makes up the very caboose. So schedules considered, my own impressions of seeing the teams play considered, I’d still keep the top two as Florida, and Alabama. Yes, Texas gave a very convincing performance against Mizzou, and I wouldn’t count them out yet, but Texas doesn’t have me sold the way Saban does.

And now, in a meandering way, I get to what I actually think. All that build up – it’s like written foreplay. Hope you’re all feeling comfortable now.  I think Alabama has been consistently the strongest team in the NCAA this season. Unlike other top teams, they were not afraid to face off against ranked non-conference opponents (Georgia-OK and Alabama-VaTech are the two games that really spring to mind in that regard). I can understand the desire to fill your schedule with cupcakes: one, it helps the cupcake team’s reputation and bottom line; two, it makes a rough conference schedule (the likes of which can be seen in the Big 12 and the like) more palatable. Still, it’s a game plan that sort of feels like cheating. It means that it’s hard to see how the conferences compare. It’s a large part of the impetus to get a play-off system in place. Seeing Alabama meet VaTech in the first week showed balls, and they followed that win up with several other decisive wins (Mississippi, then 20, and South Carolina, then 22). Florida, on the other hand, started their season off with Charleston Southern. More important than anything disparaging I could say about their schedule is the way the team has seemed shaken since the Kentucky game. Unlike last year when blow-outs were the norm, Florida has had a series of close games this season. True, they were ultimately marked as “W”s, but this team just doesn’t seem as good.

There are five more weeks of the regular season to prove me wrong (or right, I really rather be right), and I’m going to enjoy all that football. But I can’t deny the desire I’m feeling. I’ve got a fever, y’all, and the only cure is more cowbell.

Kidding. The only cure is conference championships.

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  • lowercase

    I’m calling shenanigans on Florida & Alabama, but especially Florida. Ok, maybe the SEC is still the best conference, but ARKANSAS and MISSISSIPPI STATE are not powerhouse teams. Florida can be forgiven for not blowing out LSU, but this is getting ridiculous.

    And for Bama, I know UT has a pretty good D, but to not put up a touchdown? The second best team in the country, whoever they are, would score a TD against Tennessee.

    If I had a ballot, my top ten, based solely on resume and winning convincingly, is probably something like:

    Cincinnati
    Alabama
    TCU
    Texas
    Florida
    Boise State
    Iowa
    Oregon
    USC
    Houston

    And Yes, I do think that if they played tomorrow, Cincinnati would beat Florida, Alabama, or Texas. Nobody has come within 8 of the Bearcats, which nobody else on the list can say.


    • ailanthus altissima

      I’ll agree that neither Florida nor Alabama looked particularly great yesterday, but there is no way Cincy is better. I’m not saying Arkansas and Miss State are powerhouses – I’m saying they’re better than Rutgers, Miami (OH), and Louisville. The Big East, great as they are in basketball, isn’t a strong football conference. Cincy has a weak out of conference schedule and a weak conference schedule, so of course no one has come within 8. It’s not just how you win, but against whom.

      If they can dismantle WVU and Pitt the way they did Louisville, then I’ll give them another look.


    • Rob in WI

      No way does Cincy top any rankings. It just doesn’t pass the smell test. I’m not sure Cincy deserves to be ahead of any legit 1 loss teams (USC, Oregon, maybe Penn State). There schedule doesn’t have a signature non-conference game (Even the Fresno State game, which should be, gets a point or two taken away because it was Fresno’s 3rd straight cross country trip)

      But even in the ridiculous world of “If they were…” it doesn’t work. If they were in the Big Ten, they’d be the 3rd best team AT BEST, ditto ACC… and they’d be the third best team in either division in the SEC.

      Just don’t buy it. They’re a nice team in a mid-major football conference that just happens to have been there when the BCS started.