With TCU down to one more hurdle, and Boise State clearing all their big ones, the question for the BCS is now whether or not two outsider teams can get in on the ten available BCS spots.  Right now, I think the chances are pretty good.  If they do both win out, and Boise is left out of a BCS bowl yet again, it might be the final nail in the coffin for the idea that bowl games are a reward for the athletes.

What we know for certain:

• Barring a huge upset, Texas will play the winner of the SEC championship game in the BCS Championship (2 spots).
• The winner of the Big 10 will play the winner of the Pac 10 in the Rose Bowl.  (2 spots)
• The Sugar Bowl will pick another SEC team, probably the loser of the Championship game (1 spot)
• The Big East and ACC will send teams somewhere (2 spots)
• The top rated non-BCS school will get an automatic bid (1 spot)

So right there, you have 8 of the 10 available BCS bids.  We now have to try to guess who will be contenders for the last two spots.  Let’s look at the BCS Top 16 as it stands now. (more…)

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